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Are people now underestimating sweepstakes casinos?

James Bennett, Managing Editor SweepChecker.com, explains why sweepstakes are bigger than ever despite California's off-ramp.

7 min read
are people underestimating the size of sweepstakes sector
Key Points
US sweepstakes casino market forecast to grow to $6.9bn by 2025
Research shows approximately 50-60 active sweepstakes casino operators in the US currently
California ban on sweepstakes comes into force on January 1

When you hear about the rise of gaming entertainment in the US, you might think first of sports betting, online casinos or tribal casino resorts. But the most dynamic growth story right now is in the sweepstakes casino sector - a sector that is bigger than ever, and arguably the fastest-growing form of legal, gambling-adjacent entertainment in America today.

A booming industry you might be underestimating

According to multiple industry reports, the US sweepstakes casino market has grown from roughly $3.1bn in 2022 to projections of $6.9bn by 2025. Other research suggests ambitious forecasts of the vertical reaching $11 billion by 2025. That kind of growth rate makes this sector not just relevant, it makes it central to the future of online gaming entertainment. One firm estimates a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in the 30% range.

Where many forms of regulated gaming face heavy state-by-state friction and slow rollout, sweepstakes casinos are thriving in legal grey zones and reaching millions of players every day. For example, one player-acquisition study found that sweepstakes platforms achieved 16% month-over-month growth compared to 5% for standard online casinos during the sampled period.

Legal footprint: how many states, how many operators?

It's harder to pinpoint exact numbers because of the unique regulatory positioning of sweepstakes models, but research indicates there are approximately 50-60 active sweepstakes casino operators in the US right now. And the vertical has traction in dozens of jurisdictions where regulated iGaming remains highly restricted.

Despite a growing number of states introducing legislation to restrict or ban certain sweepstakes-type games, the momentum shows no signs of stopping. Indeed, many new brands are entering the market even as the legal climate tightens.

Emerging brands keep the momentum alive

New entrants continue to join the fray, signaling that operators believe in the sustainability of the sweepstakes model. For instance, the brand ClubWPT Gold recently unveiled a new model (see below) designed to navigate emerging regulatory threats while continuing to reach new players. That alone demonstrates not just survival but creative evolution. The fact that fresh brands wave into what many thought was a saturated space makes clear: this sector is in growth mode.

California's big battleground: AB 831 and the political calculus

Of all the states making headlines, few carry the weight of California. As one market analysis puts it: the Golden State could account for roughly 17% of the US sweepstakes casino market in 2025 - even though nothing has been formally banned yet.

In June 2025 the California legislature introduced AB 831, a bill intended to ban dual-currency online sweepstakes games that allow purchase of virtual currency redeemable for cash prizes. The bill passed unchallenged through the legislature and received Governor Newsom's signature in October.

While there were no votes against in the Assembly or the Senate, there was plenty of opposition outside of the legislature with some smaller Tribal communities joining the Social Gaming Leadership Alliance's (SGLA) protests. The potential of Governor Newsom making a bid for the White House was also seemingly a factor in play, with some political advisers reportedly fearing the optics of banning a multi-billion-dollar entertainment-segment relied on by millions of Californians.

It would take a remarkable U-turn to try and reverse the bill at this point, but until the law comes into force on January 1, California is a strategic standoff zone. If it bans sweepstakes, the model loses a massive US market. If it doesn't, the sector keeps growing. That tension is likely to shape the national regulatory trajectory.

ClubWPT Gold's model pivot: evolution under fire

Enter ClubWPT Gold: the brand has revamped its traditional "dual-currency" system (Gold Coins + Sweeps Coins) in favor of a training-tools-plus-chips model, where players purchase AI-driven training tools and receive poker chips in return, which can be redeemed for cash. This strategy is explicitly designed to sidestep regulatory bans against dual-currency offerings.

That kind of innovation tells you two key things: first, the industry is not waiting to be regulated out of business; second, operators are adapting to legal pressure in real time rather than retreating. If ClubWPT Gold's pivot works, it may set a blueprint for others.

Regulation-not-eradication: the industry's message

Rather than defensiveness, the sweepstakes sector is now advocating for robust state-by-state regulation to ensure longevity, player-safety and legit consumer protections. Many operators now argue that the "legal grey zone" path is no longer tenable - and the key to sustainability is recognized regulation. Indeed, one leading trade article notes that despite the push for bans, sweepstakes casinos notched a CAGR of about 75% from 2019 through last year, making it a $4bn industry today.

So, it's not just about resisting bans - it's about proving this vertical can be safe, scalable and regulated responsibly.

The Sweepchecker.com take

We're living in a moment where sweepstakes casinos are no longer the niche side-door of gaming - they're front-and-centre. US players, investors and regulators alike are taking them seriously. While states like California push forward with AB 831 and other prohibitions, the upside remains undeniable: from billions in annual revenue to tens of millions of active, highly entertained players and dozens of operators innovating around regulation rather than being deterred by it.

US Sweepstakes Casino Revenue Growth (2019-2025 projected)

2019 - $0.46bn

2020 - $1.00bn

2022 - $3.10bn

2025 (forecast) - $6.90bn

2025 (high forecast) - $11.0bn

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